اروى بريس
أوضح بنك المغرب اليوم الثلاثاء في بلاغ عقب اجتماعه الفصلي الثالث برسم سنة 2020، أنه “يرتقب أن يشهد الاقتصاد الوطني، حسب السيناريو الأساسي المعتمد من طرف بنك المغرب، انكماشا بنسبة 3ر6 في المائة، مع نسب تراجع قدرها 3ر5 في المائة بالنسبة للقيمة المضافة الفلاحية، و3ر6 في المائة بالنسبة للقيمة المضافة غير الفلاحية”.
أضاف المصدر ذاته أنه “بالنسبة لمجموع سنة 2020، تم خفض التوقعات المنجزة في يونيو الماضي آخذا في الاعتبار الاستئناف البطيء للنشاط مقارنة بما كان متوقعا، وكذا القيود التي تم فرضها محليا أو قطاعيا بعد تزايد عدد الإصابات (بفيروس كورونا)، إضافة إلى مواصلة الإغلاق شبه التام للحدود في وجه المسافرين”.
وفي سنة 2021، يضيف البلاغ، من المتوقع أن يرتفع الناتج الداخلي الإجمالي بنسبة 7ر4 في المائة بفضل تزايد القيمة المضافة الفلاحية بواقع 6ر12 في المائة، مع فرضية تحقيق محصول حبوب قدره 75 مليون قنطار، إلى جانب تحسن القيمة المضافة غير الفلاحية بنسبة 7ر3 في المائة. وستستدعي هذه التوقعات، التي تبقى محاطة بمستوى قياسي من الشكوك المرتبطة بالأساس بتطور الجائحة وتداعياتها، وكذا وتيرة استئناف النشاط، تحيينها بشكل منتظم.
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